STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE 6TH PRUFOS POLICE DATABASE

BASIC STATISTICS OF THE NEW CASES IN THE 6TH REPORT

Of the 44 cases there are 4 Close Encounter of the 1st Kind.
Of the 44 cases 5 are Daylight Discs.
Of the 44 cases 35 are Nocturnal Light.
Of the 44 cases 6 involve sightings with high multiple officer corroboration.
Of the 44 cases 14 involve multiple UFOs.

ANALYSIS OF THE FULL REPORT

When this year’s totals are added to last year’s tally the total number is 256 cases between 1901-2007 involving 608 British police officers.

There are 217 On Duty cases on the database involving a total of 564 British police officers.

There are 39 Off Duty cases on the database involving a total of 44 British police officers.

(NOTE: I do not claim to be a statistician so much of the following data is based on what interests me the most).

1. After six years of research 73% of the ‘on duty’ cases are multiple officer
sightings.

2. The top three multiple officer cases are:

a. April 1984. Stanmore, Middlesex, near RAF Bentley Prior. Up to 20 officers
involved.

b. March 30-31 1993 South Wales, Devon and Cornwall involving 19 officers.

c. 28/08/77 Windermere, Cumbria involving 17 officers.

3. 19 ‘on duty’ cases involve 5 or more officers.

4. The five peak years for sightings are:

1988—29 cases.
1967—20 cases.
1980—14 cases.
1978—13 cases.
1977—10 cases.

5. The county in England with the heaviest concentration of police UFO sightings is West Yorkshire with 30 cases recorded on the database. In joint second place are North Yorkshire and London with 14 cases each. Wales and Scotland have been dealt with collectively with 14 and 9 cases respectively.

6. The top five UFO Shapes are: Light 105
Sphere 26
Cigar 21
Triangular 13
Saucer 13

7. UFO Classification breakdown: Category – On Duty:

NL (NOCTURNAL LIGHT) – 183
DD (DAYLIGHT DISC) – 10
CE1 (CLOSE ENCOUNTER 1ST KIND) – 25
CE2 (CLOSE ENCOUNTER 2ND KIND) – 3
CE3 (CLOSE ENCOUNTER 3RD KIND) – 1

8. UFO Classification breakdown: Category – Off Duty:

NL (NOCTURNAL LIGHT) – 22
DD (DAYLIGHT DISC) – 4
CE1 (CLOSE ENCOUNTER 1ST KIND) – 12
CE2 (CLOSE ENCOUNTER 2ND KIND) – 0
CE3 (CLOSE ENCOUNTER 3RD KIND) – 2

9. There are 34 mulitple UFO cases.

10. There are 2 cases that involve USOs (Underwater/Surface Object).

11. There are 6 cases that involve radar confirmation or radar visual.

12. UFO Characteristics: I intend to do more research in this area in the form of graphical charts/spreadsheets but already some interesting aspects stand out. For example when one examines the ‘On Duty’ CE1 (CLOSE ENCOUNTER 1ST KIND) of the 25 cases in this category, 15 display the UFO characteristic of being silent when being observed i.e. 60%.

13. UFO Shape breakdown in CE1 (CLOSE ENCOUNTER OF 1ST KIND) category:

Cigar 7
Light 6
Oval 4
Saucer 4
Diamond 1
Bell 1
Fiery Cross 1
Shape change – Cigar/Sphere 1

14. Multple officer breakdown in CE1 (CLOSE ENCOUNTER 1ST KIND) category:

Of the 25 cases in this category 17 are mulitple police officer witness sightings i.e. 68%.

*Note – the UFO Classifications are based on Dr J Allen Hynek’s classification criteria in his book ‘The UFO Experience’ (1972). I have extended the range of CE1 cases from Hynek’s 150 metres (distance from the witness to the UFO) to
400 metres for the purpose of this analysis.

*EM = Electro Magnetic Effects
*INT = Interaction between UFO and observer